Bradford City vs Port Vale - Tue 10th Nov - Johnstone's Paint Trophy
One of the benefits of following lower league football is that ignorant odds compilers often falsely price up certain bets in particular markets because they generally cater for the masses and spend less time on niche markets which attract little money. As a result, when searching for a bet, prices that are out of line quickly stand out like a sore thumb. Despite the fact Michael Flynn has netted more than his fair share from midfield this season, several bookmakers price him up at 16/1 to net first against Port Vale in the JPT tonight. The likes of Ladbrokes know the score and have him down as a 9/1 chance but the likes of Skybet and VC Bet are quite happy to lay 16/1 to you, and it looks a price too big to ignore.
City are without Gareth Evans (foot) and Lee Bullock (suspended) which probably means a recall for Michael Boulding upfront, with the midfield position possibly being filled by Leon Osbourne who came off the bench at Notts County on Saturday. On the whole, that probably weakens City's side, and it could be one of those games where decent goalscoring chances are at a premium, and we grab one from a set-play.
Port Vale have already visited Valley Parade this season, and looked distinctly average, only threatening from set-plays, and if they play the same tonight, a goal from open play seems unlikely. Boulding struggled against the Valiants back in August and will be hoping for better service tonight but City often lacked a final ball that day and will be pinning their hopes on Scott Neilson and Osbourne to unlock the opposition defence.
The jury is still out on Osbourne and Neilson has looked jaded in recent starts, and I think the more likely source of a goal is though the wicked right foot of Michael Flynn. The combative midfield has made a big impression since signing from Huddersfield in the close season and has netted four goals in nineteen games for Bradford. That is impressive for a central midfielder and being a set-piece expert he also offers danger from free-kicks.
Stuart McCall has said on the visitors.."You look at Port Vale's record away from home and they're very hard to beat so I'm sure we'll be practising penalties because it could be a tough night......when they came here they were resolute, nil-nil, didn't have many chances bit of a drab game but they did the job and got a point" and at 16/1 it is worth chancing that Flynn will be the man to break the deadlock with one of his long range thunderbolts.
Michael Flynn First Goalscorer 16/1 VC Bet/Skybet, 4 pts win/1 pt place.
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